I am sure that U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta is right when he says that Israel has not yet made up its mind about whether or not to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities. The question is – What will most likely be the determining factor in the mind of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu?
In my assessment the answer is as obvious as the fact that Israel’s political and military leaders are not remotely interested in peace accept on their own terms – terms which require a complete Palestinian surrender to Zionism’s will.
The quickest way to the answer is via another question. What is it, really, that Netanyahu is currently most concerned about?
Unless he is deluded to the point of clinical madness, he must know, despite what he asserts ad nauseam to the contrary, that even if Iran did possess nuclear weapons, it would never launch a first strike against Israel because to do so would guarantee Iran’s complete destruction. (It would, to coin a phrase, be “wiped off the map”). So in reality a nuclear-armed Iran would not pose a threat to Israel’s existence. The only real downside for Netanyahu and those who think like him is that an Iran which possessed nuclear weapons for deterrence would limit Israel’s ability to go on imposing its will on the entire region. That is, of course, a worry for Netanyahu, but it is not currently his biggest concern.
It is that Obama will defeat Romney and win a second term in the White House.
On the matter of the conflict in and over Palestine that became Israel my own understanding of the significance of a second term for any American president was clarified by Jimmy Carter in a conversation I had with him after he failed to secure a second term. He told me that any American president has only two windows of opportunity to break or try to break the Zionist lobby’s stranglehold on Congress. The first window is during the first nine months of his first term because after that the soliciting of funds for the mid-term elections begins. (Presidents don’t have to worry on their own account about funds for the mid-term elections, but with their approach no president can do or say anything that would cost his party seats in Congress). The second window of opportunity is the last year of his second term if he has one. In that year, because he can’t run for a third term, no president has a personal need for election campaign funds or organised votes.
That, almost certainly, explains two related things. The first is why Obama moved so quickly in his first term to try to get Israel to agree to a settlement freeze in order to re-start a real peace process. The second is why, after he was blocked by Netanyahu and the Zionist lobby’s stooges in Congress, pressing Israel to be serious about peace was off the Obama agenda for the rest of his first term.
Netanyahu’s real fear is that a second term Obama will put America’s own real interests first by negotiating an end to the nuclear crisis with Iran and then, perhaps not until the last year of his second term, using the leverage America has to oblige Israel to be serious about peace on terms the vast majority of Palestinians and most other Arabs and Muslims everywhere could accept.
In the context summarised very briefly above, it’s my view that the determining factor in Netanyahu’s mind will be his assessment, much closer to November than we now are, of the most likely outcome of the American election. If the day comes when he concludes that American Zionist and Christian fundamentalist money can’t buy the White House for Romney, that might very well be the day he persuades enough of his cabinet colleagues that they must bomb Iran without further delay.
At the present time Netanyahu has the comfort of knowing that if he does order an attack on Iran two or three weeks before the American election, Obama will have no choice but to back him even though war with Iran could have catastrophic consequences for America’s own best interests in the region and far beyond.
UPDATE
According to a story in The Times of Israel quoting an Israeli TV Channel 10 report, American and Israeli officials are working to arrange a meeting at the end of September or early October between Obama and Netanyahu at which the president will give an assurance that “the U.S. will use force to stop Iran’s nuclear weapons drive by next June at the latest if it has not halted its program by then.”
If Obama really is intending to give such an assurance, the implication is that he truly fears that Netanyahu will give the order for Iran to be bombed if and when he concludes that Romney is not going to be America’s next president.
In other words, Obama would be giving the assurance out of sheer desperation in order to stop an Israeli attack on Iran before the November election.
My guess is that if Obama does give Netanyahu such an assurance, he will be hoping that after he is back in the White House for a second term he will be able to negotiate a peaceful end to the nuclear crisis with Iran before next June. My guess is also that Obama knows that negotiations with Iran can succeed because it has no intention of actually producing nuclear weapons unless it is attacked.
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A cat doesn't change it's stripes.
Ersatz israel will not attack Iran. If they did, that would be the end of Apartheid israel. Their plan is to push the US into doing it. If the US doesn't do it, no one will.
Obama, no doubt, is a poodle of Zionism - but both Obama and Netanyahu have no balls to attack Iran. Top Generals in both the US and Israel are against this war as they all believe that the war with Iran will be a "no win" adventure. Furthermore, Iran is not Afghanistan, Iraq or Libys. Former British foreign secretary Lord David Owen warned these war-criminals last December in OP-Ed in daily MIRROR that Iran has become the most powerful nation in the region.
Israeli daily Ha’aretz reported on August 3 that Israeli prime minister speaking at a close meeting slammed his military Generals of being affraid to face an inquiry commission as result of Israeli attack on Iran. Netanyahu was referring to the Winograd Commission established by the Zionist regime to investigate how Lebanese Islamic resistance Hizbullah defeated Jewish Army in Summer 2006. The Winograd Commission in its report released on April 30, 2007 – harshly criticized the Zionist regime and Jewish military leadership – while praised Hizbullah leader Sheikh Nasrallah.
http://rehmat1.com/2012/08/06/netanyahu-israeli-generals-are-pussies/
Even Chris Mathews once said Israel should fight its own wars.
Terrifying no matter how you look at it. This looks to me like the culmination of 64 years of zionism's influence on the US government (that influence is now more aptly described as control), news media and public opinion. Any Israeli or US attack on Iran would start World War III.
Richard Steven Hack - I believe you're living in more self-denial than Gen. Giora Eiland, former military adviser to Sharon and Olmert, who admitted last year: "Israel does not know how to beat Hezbollah".
Robert Fisk wrote in British daily Independent on January 21, 2010: “Israeli government have been announcing that the only “army” of Lebanon is the Hizbollah. The Hizbollah claimed that the 2006 war with Israel was a “divine victory” – it didn’t feel that way to us in southern Lebanon at the time – yet even Israel admits it was a near-defeat for its own ill-trained soldiers“.
Jewish army has no balls to invade Syria, Lebanon or Islamic Republic - neither Obama is interested to scarify American solders for the security of the Zionist entity.
On Tuesday, America’s top soldier, Gen. Martin Dempsey in a news conference attended by US defense secretary Leon Panetta, said: “Israel can delay but not destroy Iran’s nuclear capabilities“.
Attila Somfalvi in Israeli daily YNet, interpreted Dempsey’s remark as a warning to the Zionist regime that without American military help, Jewish army cannot defeat Iran.
“The general’s remark was not a slip-of-the-tongue. It was a calculated statement from a general of Irish descent and character. His words constituted a slap in Israel’s face, a punch in the face, and a kick to the most sensitive part of the body. To be more precise, the US slammed Israel’s head against the wall and said: “Shut up. Stop babbling about Iran. Without us there is not much you can do, and don’t assume for a second that we are dancing to your tune. You shouldn’t do anything stupid, and stop driving the entire world crazy,” wrote Attila Somfalvi.
http://rehmat1.com/2012/08/18/gen-dempsey-israel-cant-defeat-iran/
Thanks Rehmat.
There were two articles in the newspaper this weekend on erzats israel. Two in the same paper on the same topic; Apartheid israel's threats to Iran.
I think this topic is now dead. I have not seen one source that believes zion will launch an attack.
I would like to raise another question.
It must be quite embarrassing for zion; which sees itself, and would like others to see it, as a "mad dog that no one wants to mess with;" to be considered impotent in regards to Iran. No one, including it's own military leaders believe that it can defeat Iran. The US is ignoring it; and Netinyahoo is internationally recognised as an idiot. This must be the absolute low point for erzats israel, in terms of it's reputation and it's ability to maneuver other countries to it's side.
To redeem itself (only within it's own eyes) I believe they might well believe that now would be a good time to launch a 3 day war; not against Iran but against someone who is a much weaker adversary.
David King - It was Gen. Moshe Dayan who said: "Israel must be like a mad dog, too dangerous to bother". However, Hizbullah militia NUMBERED THE MAD DOG's days in 34-day war in 2006.
http://rehmat1.com/2010/08/27/hizbullah-changed-the-me-in-2006/
@Rehmat
That is my point exactly. The 2006 war was ersatz israel's first military loss. It was a watershed event. Six years later, zion has hit another wall. This time international resistance to their greedy desires. Their pride, in the self titled "mad dog" appellation has suffered a savage hit: a loss of face and a second dip in respect. Add the disastrous international performance of Netinyahoo and Apartheid israel has persisted on a downward slope since 2006. They surely must be seeking a way to gain back some respect, and as the saying goes; "when all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail." The inevitable must be war against women, children, the sick and elderly and those unable to mount a defense. All of course with the help of US cluster bombs and other banned munitions. That as the saying goes, is how zion rolls.
Israeli warmongering defense minister Gen. Ehud Barak told the annual conference of the Institute for National Strategic Studies in Tel Aviv on Tuesday that Israeli leadership felt like the “Jewish State had a sword to its neck prior to the 1967 Six-Day War”, and felt their was no choice but to act. He suggested that the “Iranian threat” may have come to this point, or be nearing this point.
Anyone who has read Zionist history from objective source would know that Zionist leaders have never felt ashamed of repeating their lies. On April 4, 1972, Gen. Haim Bar-Lev, former Jewish Army’s Chief of Staff, was quoted in Israeli daily Ma’ariv as follows: “We were not threatened with genocide on the eve of the Six Day War, and we had never thought of such a possiblity“.
Gen. Matti Peled's son Miko Peled in his book 'The General's Son' - has admitted that it was his father who had suggested to the prime minister that Egyptian army is very weak and it was a golden oppotunity to attack Egyptian army and scare the hell out of the rest of Arab armies.
http://rehmat1.com/2012/06/16/occupation-israeli-generals-family-speaks/
Sad and absolutely scary having to realize that a handful of psychopaths hold the world's life or death in their hands.
why should we put our kids at risk to fight a war for Israel. What the fuck have they ever done for us. I dont see any of our war mongering poloticians sons signing up to fight and give up their lives for Israel. But i guess that is different as they are special.